Friday, October 15, 2010

WILL PAKISTAN IMPLODE

*WILL PAKISTAN IMPLODE!*

* *http://tarafits.blogspot.com/2010/10/will-pakistan-implode.html

In early 1990s ,at his new year reception in Ankara after exchange of warm
greetings , the Turkish Prime Minister said to me ,"Ambassador ,let us now
try to normalize relations between our two friendly states , India and
Pakistan". Instinctively I responded ,"Excellency ,Pakistan is not a state
but an anti-India profession" .Before completing my sentence I regretted my
rather undiplomatic indiscretion ,but the Turkish leader said nothing then
or ever referred to it during my many meetings alone or with Indian
delegations , during my stay when our relations warmed up further.

Since long Pakistan has been a failing state , having failed to even create
a territory based identity .It has been a plaything first of Britain , then
of USA and China too .Saudi Arabia with its petrodollars disseminates
obscurantist
Wahabi ideology around the world , which keeps Muslims backwards and
ignorant .It has led to fatal attacks not only on Ahmedias and Kadianis
,even mainline Shias and Mohajirs in Pakistan .So Tehran retaliates by
supporting Shias in Pakistan . Unless the Washington -Saud Dynasty-Wahabi
Axis is undone , Muslims will remain divided and backward , which suits the
three members .US provides guarantee to Saudi Dynasty, which allows a free
run to Wahabis in and outside Saudi Arbia , while Washington exploits Arab
oil resources for its benefit.

In my many articles I have given background based on British archives that
London created a weak Pakistan as an ally south of the then Soviet Russian
underbelly to safe guard western oilfields in the Middle East ,which is
still the prize the West is fighting for in Iraq, Iran ,Saudi Arabia and
elsewhere in the Gulf , the Caspian Basin and central Asia, since Indian
leaders Mahatma Gandhi and Nehru were rightly unlikely to join subservient
Western alliances .USA has still not given up India with pensioners of the
Washington Consensus outfits key decision makers in New Delhi. Washington
would like to use India against China as it used Iraq against Iran .You can
see former Indian diplomats to USA, US poodles and trumpeteers ,bribed by
scholarships , well paid seminars etc clogging India's info-challenged
corporate media and celebrity and trivia obsessed TV channels .Fortunately
we have in experienced diplomat Shankar Menon an able national security
adviser unlike the last Intelligence Bureau policeman who could not think
beyond Pakistan and guided by handlers in Washington , London and Tel Aviv.

Unfortunately for US, London , after losing premier position as the major
world power following the WWII has hung on to Washington for reflected power
and glory and crumbs of loot .The unfortunate part has been misguiding
Washington 's policies .The encouragement and joining by congenital liar
Tony Blair , now disgraced British Prime Minister , who egged on a
strategically blank slate US President George Bush and joined him in the
illegal 2003 invasion of Iraq , which has killed over 1.3 million Iraqis
.But the US is now caught in a quagmire .The Congress Committee Chairman
decorated Marine Murtha stated 4 years ago that US armed forces have broken
down in the killing fields of Iraq .Iraq lies destroyed and divided .The
fawning corporate medias in US and India make no mention of this genocide
and crimes by US led invasion and brutal occupation.

Worse has been British scheming in Afghanistan, which the British think is
their specialty since the days of Raj in Hindustan, Pakistan and central
Asia with India a victim of collateral damage .Timid Indians donot even
protest .Not even a whimper when it is clear that Washington knew in advance
about 2611 rape of Mumbai , in which its spy George Headley was a key
participant .Who needs enemies with friends like Washington But the
chickens are coming home to roost but I doubt if India is prepared for the
outflow of lava of violence and mayhem from Pakistan. In history Delhi woke
up only when invaders reached Panipat .The so called martial races used as
cannon fodder by the colonial British between Peshawar and Panipat never
fought except under Sardar Ranjit Singh .After King Porus , the area became
porous for invaders .Yes looters and terrorists ,which holds good even now .

Below is a piece by Ramtanu Maitra , a US based expert on strategic
developments specially on Asia. This piece appeared in Economic Intelligence
Review recently.

Take care Gajendra 15 October, 2010 Mayur Vihar Delhi.

*PAKISTAN IMPLODES***

*The Serpent Eggs Are Hatched, And London's Snakes Are Out*

By Ramtanu Maitra

Oct. 9—Pakistan is now firmly caught in a vortex of violence. There is no
indication whatsoever that the Pakistani authorities have either the
capability, or the intent, to get to the root cause of this catastrophic
development, to put a stop to the growing violence. What is evident,
however, is that Pakistan is becoming increasingly unstable, with large
parts virtually ungovernable. If this trend continues, not just India and
Afghanistan, but the surrounding region will soon be subjected to the
disastrous effects of this instability.

There are many reasons why Pakistan's instability has reached this state,
but most important, is Islamabad's unwillingness to get out of the colonial
mindset, learned from the rulers of the British Raj, and move quickly to
integrate the nation. In Pakistan, the ethnic and provincial identities have
been kept intact, if not sharpened during the 60-plus years of its
existence, and Islamabad has kept vast areas, the bulk of its geographical
territory, underdeveloped and virtually untouched. Behind Islamabad's policy
is the old British imperial strategy of maintaining ethnic and sub-ethnic
identities, thereby facilitating the rule of a few over the rest.

It appears now that the serpent's eggs have been hatched, and London's
snakes are spilling all over Pakistan to poison the land. Despite these
visible developments, Pakistan's powers-that-be, the Punjabi-dominated
military, and the weak democratic forces, have long since opted for a policy
of blaming others, and doing nothing. It is "Hamlet-like" paralysis, where
those who have to act have convinced themselves that no action is the best
action. The result of this paralysis has become obvious for all to see.

As with the recent floods in Pakistan, which were caused by unusually heavy
monsoon rains over a very short period of time, and where the authorities
had adopted the self-consoling illusion that such a catastrophe would never
occur, in the same way, they believe the violence taking place in Pakistan
today is "just the way things are."

The presence of U.S. and NATO troops in Afghanistan has further facilitated
the process of disintegration, and it has now reached a point where even the
departure of the foreign troops from Afghanistan, may not bring down the
level of violence inside Pakistan. Terrorists, organized by Islamabad in the
1980s and 1990s to "bleed India" in the (disputed) state of Jammu and
Kashmir, have not only consolidated their foothold within Pakistan, but have
formed strong ties with foreign instigators, such as Britain and Saudi
Arabia (see last week's *EIR*).

* *

*Endless Violence*

On Sept. 30, a NATO airship crossed into Pakistan's airspace in the Upper
Kurram region near Pakistan's western borders with Afghanistan and killed
three Pakistani soldiers. In protest, Pakistan stopped the huge line of
supplies that snakes its way daily from the southern Pakistani port of
Karachi through the legendary Khyber Pass, into the Bagram Air Base near
Kabul. As a result, this now stationary convoy of trucks has come under
attack from the "insurgents."

At the time of this writing, at least 150 oil tankers have been burnt up. A
number of the tankers were snaking their way to the open southern route that
enters Afghanistan through the Pakistani border town of Chaman. It is
unlikely that anyone, besides a few insiders, would know how much of this
supply is taken off by the insurgents on a routine basis. Neither the
Americans, who depend heavily on keeping the supply line to feed the war in
Afghanistan, nor the Pakistanis, who collect a goodly sum for keeping the
supply line "undisturbed," are inclined to divulge this inside information.

While the "Taliban" and other "insurgents" have been accused of this
misdeed, it is anyone's guess who did the burning and looting. The fact
remains that this long convoy, which brings in 70% of the supplies needed by
the 150,000 U.S. and NATO troops stationed in Afghanistan, is contracted out
to the Pakistanis and Afghans. It is impossible to evaluate how many of
these "contractors" are working for the insurgents. It is likely that the
supply line has been allowed to function throughout the nine years since
2001, when Afghanistan was invaded by the Americans, because many of these
"contractors" were paying a "due share" to the insurgents, strengthening
their firepower against the U.S. and NATO troops.

* *

*Pakistan's (or Britain's?) Frontiers*

The area through which the huge convoy brings in supplies for the U.S. and
NATO troops, passes through the troubled western frontier areas of
Pakistan/Afghanistan, known as the Federally Administered Tribal Areas
(FATA), Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province, and

Balochistan. While all three areas are in turmoil, the FATA is now a hotbed
of Wahhabi-influenced jihadi movements and old tribal rivalries.

It is divided into seven districts, called agencies: Bajaur, Mohmand,
Khyber, Orakzai,Kurram, North Waziristan, and South Waziristan. FATA is
thinly populated (3 million, in contrast to the total of 170 million in
Pakistan) and has a very rough terrain. The FATA and Afghanistan are
separated by the non-demarcated Durand Line, literally, a "line in the
sand," drawn arbitrarily by the British Raj in 1893, but never accepted by
Kabul.

The Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (formerly the North West Frontier Province, NWFP),
along with Balochistan, was brought under British control in 1880, after the
second Afghan War (1878-80), when parts of its territory was wrested from
Afghanistan, bringing the British-controlled territories within 50 miles of
Kabul. The administrative system that prevails today in the FATA, is almost
identical to that which originated under the British Raj. The FATA is
officially under the directive of the Pakistani President, who has empowered
the governor of neighboring Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa as his representative. The
governor, in turn, appoints an "agent" for each agency of the FATA.

These agents are senior administrators in their regions, and are governed by
rules established by a British Act of Parliament in 1901. This set of rules
is called the Frontier Crimes Regulation (FCR). The FCR was enforced by the
British Raj in the Pushtun-inhabited tribal areas in Northwest British
India, as it was called then. The laws were devised especially to counter
the fierce opposition of the Pushtuns to British rule; their main objective
was to protect the interests of the British Empire. Although, formally, that
British Empire is history, Islamabad has done its very best to keep its laws
intact in the FATA.

As a result of keeping the FATA undeveloped, as if the British Empire still
ruled there, the FATA, during the nine years of war in Afghanistan, went
"under the de facto joint control of al-Qaeda and Taliban militants, except
for the tribal agency of South Waziristan, which was recently retaken from
the Mahsud Taliban network by the Pakistani army," to quote Farhat Taj of
the Jamestown Foundation. The concentration of terrorists within the FATA
was helped by the Pakistani military's ground action in South Waziristan and
some other tribal agencies, and the increasingly bloody drone attacks by the
U.S. and NATO.

Islamabad's involvement in these drone attacks, although often denied by the
Pakistani authorities, and condemned as a violation of its sovereignty, is
now clear. There were many reports that the drone strikes on the FATA are
carried out from air bases within Pakistan.

U.S. officials say the strikes are carried out under an informal agreement
with Islamabad that allows Pakistani leaders to criticize them in public,
but Pakistan denies the existence of any such agreement. This denial of
reality, which is allowing the killing of many innocent Pakistanis by
foreigners, has hardened the belief of many in the tribal area that
Islamabad does not really consider them to be citizens.

* *

*Living in Fear in Balochistan*

But it is not only the FATA: All areas west of the River Indus are in
flames, not only because of the Pakistani support lent to the needless war
in Afghanistan, and its direct violent impact on the people living in the
border areas, but also the historic neglect of these people.

Take the case of Balochistan: Inhabited mostly by Baloch tribes and some
Pushtuns, it has been in flames for years. During the Cold War, Islamabad
blamed the Soviet Union for supporting the Baloch communists seeking
separation. Now, Pakistan blames India for fanning the flames in
Balochistan. Since these accusations cannot be verified, nor can New Delhi's
denials be wholly accepted as truth, the fact remains that Balochistan has
been treated by Islamabad since its inception as a colonial part of
Islamabad's newly acquired "empire."

It is shocking to note that, on at least two occasions, under two different
rulers in Islamabad, Balochistan was subjected to air strikes. In fact,
Baloch dissidence has always been met with guns by Islamabad. In 1954,
Islamabad merged the four provinces of West Pakistan—Balochistan, NWFP,
Punjab, and Sindh—into "One Unit." One Unit was formed without adequate
dialogue and, as a result, an anti-One Unit movement emerged in Balochistan.
To overcome this opposition, the Pakistani Army was deployed, and the Khan
of Kalat was arrested, but not before the Baloch oppositionists to the One
Unit had engaged the Pakistani Army in pitched battles.

In 1973, following his visit to Iran, then-Pakistani President Zulfikar Ali
Bhutto dismissed the elected provincial government of Balochistan. The
pretext was that a cache of 350 Soviet submachine guns and 100,000 rounds of
ammunition had supposedly been discovered in the Iraqi attaché's house, and
were destined for Balochistan, according to Ray Fulcher in his Nov. 30, 2006
article, "Balochistan's History of Insurgency."

The ensuing protest against the dismissal of the duly elected government
brought in another wave of the Pakistani Army—78,000 men, to be
precise—supported by Iranian Cobra helicopters. The troops were resisted by
some 50,000 Baloch. The conflict took the lives of 3,300 Pakistani troops,
5,300 Baloch, and thousands of civilians. That 1973 invasion created deep
divisions between the Baloch people and Islamabad, and made the Baloch
vulnerable to London's machinations.

However, Islamabad's British colonial-like policy towards Balochistan did
not end in 1973. As the Baloch internal security situation deteriorated
following the 2001 U.S. invasion of Afghanistan, Islamabad, under President
Pervez Musharraf, became uneasy. Between December 2005 and June 2006, more
than 900 Baloch were killed, about 140,000 were displaced, 450 political
activists (mainly from the Baloch National Party) disappeared, and 4,000
activists were arrested, some reports indicate.

* *

*Killers in Karachi*

The convoy that brings supplies to the foreign soldiers in Afghanistan
starts its daily journey, from Karachi in Sindh province, which, like
India's Mumbai, is Pakistan's principal port and main commercial center.
And, yet, Islamabad has allowed it to be taken over, not by the local mafia,
a phenomenon that keeps Mumbai highly vulnerable, but by groups of killers
who were earlier organized by Islamabad for "political" reasons.

The "political" reasons emerged in the late 1970s, when Gen. Zia ul-Haq—the
Pakistani military dictator and darling of Washington in its campaign to
deliver a defeat to the Soviet Army in the 1980s—having hanged the Sindhi
political leader of the mass-based Pakistan People's Party (PPP) in 1979,
set about to capture control of Karachi. He created a goon squad, co-opted
the opponents of the PPP in Karachi, the Mohajir Qaum Movement (MQM, now
known as Muttahida Qaum Movement), armed them, and pitched them against the
PPP.

Later, when the Soviets moved into Afghanistan and the
Washington-London-Islamabad-organized freedom fighters (mujahideen) took up
opium production to "balance their budgets," hundreds of thousands of
Pushtuns moved into Karachi. Drug and crime became their trademark, right
under the nose of Islamabad. If they were not encouraged, they were not
taken down either. Islamabad saw the benefit of keeping the city divided, in
the same way that the British found "strategic" advantage in keeping people
divided in order to facilitate their rule.

Now that billions of dollars worth of goods are moving from Karachi to the
Khyber Pass and the

Chaman entry point, these killer squads have become very active. There is
money in it—a lot of it. As a result, Karachi is fast becoming an inferno.
Political personnel, drug-runners, gun-runners—many of these nefarious
characters wearing garb of Islamic jihadis—are making hay. It is not
difficult to find the British pawprints all over the place. For instance,
the leader of the

Zia-created MQM is now leading the party from London, as a British subject,
ostensibly under the protection of the British SIS.

Karachi is now also the center of targetted assassination. By early August,
the city had the distinction of claiming 300 target assassination victims.
By now, the number could be as high as 400. But, that is not taking into
consideration the so-called religious killings. This city has more than 14
million people of various Islamic beliefs, and routinely, the
Saudi-controlled and Islamabad-tolerated Wahhabis (Sunni extremists) are
blowing up Sufi and Shi'a mosques.

A case in point is the tragedy that occurred on Oct. 7, when suicide
bombings at the Abdullah Shah Ghazi shrine killed at least eight people and
wounded 65 others at the crowded site. The attack happened at the busiest
time of the week, when thousands of people typically visit the site to pray,
distribute food to the poor, and toss rose petals on the grave of the saint.
The first explosion took place as the suspected bomber was going through a
metal detector leading up to the shrine, according to Babar Khattak, the
senior police official in Sindh province. The Oct. 7 explosions echoed a
twin suicide bombing at a well-known Sufi shrine in the eastern city of
Lahore, that left 40 people dead earlier this year.

What followed is typical of many such incidents in Karachi before. The
attack was blamed on the Wahhabi goons, and the people took to the street in
protest to burn down whatever they could lay their hands on. Pakistan
President Asif Ali Zardari blamed the attacks on "those who want to impose
an extremist mindset and lifestyle upon our country," but said the
government would not be deterred.

What is the problem that Pakistan faces today? It could be summed up in two
statements issued recently from London, by the former military dictator Gen.
Pervez Musharraf, who has been in self-imposed exile in London since 2008.
London, of course, controls most, if not all, of the violence that occurs in
Pakistan. Musharraf, in an interview with *Der Spiegel *on Oct. 6, said that
militant groups "were indeed formed. The government turned a blind eye
because they wanted India to discuss Kashmir."

The next day, he described his political detractors as "cowards," and added,
"I would say, failure of governance is the greatest threat today."

What Musharraf seems to forget, is that he, himself, did next to nothing,
during his nine years in power, to integrate the economically deprived and
underdeveloped provinces with Punjab, the powerhouse of Pakistan. Nor did he
do anything to curb the violence caused by decades of continuation of
British policies of divide and rule.

--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

No comments:

Post a Comment